Archive for the ‘Private Annuities’ Category

Credit is made of individual parts

Friday, April 16th, 2010

Partnerships provide value that competitors cannot duplicate. Anyone can reproduce a widget. So don’t bet the family fortune on your product or service. Sooner or later, someone will dissect it, figure it out, and make it better. And where will that leave you? What they can never reproduce is the dynamics created through partnerships. Each partnership is unique, made up of unique individuals, and the interactions between these people cannot be replicated. How do you reproduce genius? If scientists could figure out that one, cloning might become the most prevalent form of reproduction. But we haven’t figured it out because it is so complex and is the sum of so many factors that it can never be duplicated. This is true of partnerships as well.

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A repricing of credit risk

Friday, October 30th, 2009

50Telecommunications companies serve as a good example at this point. They used to be fixed-line operators. The introduction of new wireless technology changed their business models since they had to adapt their strategies to the new technological landscape. Capital expenditures were massively increased for the building of new wireless networks and the competition intensified for new wireless customers since the telecommunications market was liberalized, and alternative providers were allowed to compete with the incumbent telecommunications companies. Additionally government regulators in Europe asked for billions of dollars in fees for wireless licenses (3G). These technological and regulatory changes resulted in a tremendous increase of leverage for most of the telecommunications companies and a repricing of credit risk in this sector occurred that was accompanied by a negative industry rating trend (from AA_ to BBB_). Another example for the changing landscape of an industry is the electric utilities sector. This market undergoes a liberalization process which is in different stages according to the various jurisdictions. Changes of the regulatory environment have an impact on the development of credit quality.

The business models became riskier as the competition in the sector increased, M&A activities picked up considerably and some utility companies got involved in the risky energy trading business. Formerly low risk and stable cash flows generating businesses turned into higher risk (e.g. energy trading) and more volatile cash flow businesses.

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The integration of your credit resources

Thursday, October 29th, 2009

The value chain for the automobile industry is representative for a cyclical sector. The various component makers interact with suppliers from the steel, textiles and basic materials industries. The car manufacturers assemble all parts together and finished automobiles are shipped through various distribution networks to the final consumer. Own financial services companies support the sales process. A vertical integration will increase the car manufacturers’ ability to control the entire value chain. Production costs are a major component for the success of car manufacturers. If a new technology or regulatory/deregulatory forces change the structure of an industry’s value chain the companies within this industry will try to adapt to the new situation. This means that management will change its business strategy in order to remain competitive. As a result, the capital structure may change which has a direct effect on credit quality.

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